Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Reggiana 1919 vs. US Livorno 1915: O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 19% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
16
Over 13%
$2.1K
-$21.16
Smart Money Signal
3 of 16 top traders (19%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian | Underavg 29¢ | $321.53 | $1.1K | +$783.83 | 36% 953-1669 (2622) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 62¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 49¢ | $182.55 | $372.55 | +$190 | 53% 2094-1845 (3939) |
MA MadridTime | Underavg 45¢ | $84.64 | $181.04 | +$96.4 | 37% 972-1637 (2609) |
LI LightParadox | Underavg 42¢ | $72.41 | $172.4 | +$99.99 | 37% 964-1664 (2628) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Underavg 99¢ | $128.81 | $130.11 | +$1.3 | 99% 465-7 (472) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 50.8¢ | $30.99 | $31.66 | +$0.67 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Underavg 58¢ | $13.57 | $23.4 | +$9.83 | 24% 56-173 (229) |
 poshposh<$100 | Underavg 45¢ | $6.85 | $15.22 | +$8.37 | 48% 1130-1207 (2337) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Underavg 54¢ | $6 | $11.11 | +$5.11 | 38% 550-886 (1436) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $2.35 | $5.35 | +$3 | 47% 899-999 (1898) |
 RN1<$100 | Underavg 26¢ | $1.3 | $5 | +$3.7 | 55% 5370-4319 (9689) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $2.3 | $5 | +$2.7 | 45% 810-993 (1803) |
 dips.<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $2.16 | $4.91 | +$2.75 | 47% 971-1102 (2073) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Overavg 26¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 45% 659-820 (1479) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 29¢ | $7.8 | — | +$2.2 | 48% 2091-2257 (4348) |
Invested
$321.53
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$783.83
Record
36%
953-1669 (2622)
Invested
$1,229.19
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
Invested
$182.55
Value
$372.55
PnL
+$190
Record
53%
2094-1845 (3939)
Invested
$84.64
Value
$181.04
PnL
+$96.4
Record
37%
972-1637 (2609)
Invested
$72.41
Value
$172.4
PnL
+$99.99
Record
37%
964-1664 (2628)
Invested
$128.81
Value
$130.11
PnL
+$1.3
Record
99%
465-7 (472)
Invested
$30.99
Value
$31.66
PnL
+$0.67
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
Invested
$13.57
Value
$23.4
PnL
+$9.83
Record
24%
56-173 (229)
poshposh<$100Invested
$6.85
Value
$15.22
PnL
+$8.37
Record
48%
1130-1207 (2337)
Invested
$6
Value
$11.11
PnL
+$5.11
Record
38%
550-886 (1436)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$5.35
PnL
+$3
Record
47%
899-999 (1898)
RN1<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.7
Record
55%
5370-4319 (9689)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
45%
810-993 (1803)
dips.<$100Invested
$2.16
Value
$4.91
PnL
+$2.75
Record
47%
971-1102 (2073)
Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
45%
659-820 (1479)
Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
+$2.2
Record
48%
2091-2257 (4348)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Venusian
Under — $1.1K
Flaznorp
CTROver — $0
GoalLineGhost
Under — $372.55
MadridTime
Under — $181.04
LightParadox
Under — $172.4
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Under — $130.11
topdogbigboi
Under — $31.66
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
Under — $23.4
poshposh
Under — $15.22
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Under — $11.11