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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Reggiana 1919 vs. US Livorno 1915 end in a draw?

Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Yes 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.5K

Combined PnL

$352.87

Smart Money Signal

Yes

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes6 traders
Total Value$4.4K
Total Shares4,366
Combined PnL+$1.2K
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,375
Combined PnL-$894.14
Yes — 50%No — 50%
MA
MadridTime
Yes

Invested

$1,898.06

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$827.36

Record

37%

972-1637 (2609)

VE
Venusian
Yes

Invested

$716.96

Value

$968.46

PnL

+$251.49

Record

36%

953-1669 (2622)

LI
LightParadox
Yes

Invested

$417.39

Value

$493.77

PnL

+$76.38

Record

37%

964-1664 (2628)

FL
FlaznorpARB<$100
No

Invested

$521.99

Value

$93.39

PnL

-$428.61

Record

49%

3844-4007 (7851)

Both legs:

Yes$34.637¢+$58.79
No$487.426.1¢-$487.4
LI
Limousin
Yes

Invested

$58.07

Value

$148.69

PnL

+$90.62

Record

36%

937-1647 (2584)

RN1CTR
No

Invested

$406.62

Value

—

PnL

-$406.62

Record

55%

5370-4319 (9689)

LU
LuckyLoo<$100
Yes

Invested

$27.43

Value

$28.57

PnL

+$1.14

Record

36%

443-803 (1246)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR
No

Invested

$394.97

Value

—

PnL

-$394.97

Record

53%

2094-1845 (3939)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
No

Invested

$62.28

Value

—

PnL

-$62.28

Record

37%

1030-1738 (2768)

poshposhCTR<$100
No

Invested

$24.21

Value

—

PnL

-$24.21

Record

48%

1130-1207 (2337)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.31

Value

$1.32

PnL

+$0.01

Record

99%

465-7 (472)

CI
cigarettesCTR<$100
No

Invested

$4.72

Value

—

PnL

-$4.72

Record

53%

7092-6207 (13299)

0X
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100
No

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

44%

377-472 (849)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1e17e43a...d9b6d8
Slug
serc-reg-liv-2026-11-14-draw

Traders in this Market

MA

MadridTime

Yes — $2.7K

+$827.36
VE

Venusian

Yes — $968.46

+$251.49
LI

LightParadox

Yes — $493.77

+$76.38
FL

Flaznorp

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$428.61
LI

Limousin

Yes — $148.69

+$90.62

RN1

CTR

No — $0

-$406.62
LU

LuckyLoo

Yes — $28.57

+$1.14
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

No — $0

-$394.97
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

No — $0

-$62.28

poshposh

CTR

No — $0

-$24.21
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