Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will US Pergolettese Crema vs. Pro Vercelli 1892 end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
No 56%
$209.74
-$41.81
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 50.5¢ | $85.14 | $152.25 | +$67.11 | 48% 4819-5125 (9944) |
LO looppau<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $37.25 | $37.29 | +$0.04 | 99% 872-2 (874) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 41.7¢ | $57.73 | — | -$57.73 | 39% 1657-2634 (4291) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 68.5¢ | $6.93 | $10.12 | +$3.19 | 35% 516-946 (1462) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Yesavg 87¢ | $11.47 | $10.08 | +$0.61 | 53% 7602-6693 (14295) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $19.29 | — | -$19.29 | 48% 1342-1442 (2784) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 43.7¢ | $16.48 | — | -$16.48 | 48% 1389-1483 (2872) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | $10.78 | — | -$10.78 | 45% 1018-1224 (2242) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 70.8¢ | $9.38 | — | -$9.38 | 52% 2587-2373 (4960) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Yesavg 84¢ | $4.2 | — | +$0.79 | 83% 1030-210 (1240) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $7 | — | +$0.1 | 53% 1989-1729 (3718) |
Invested
$85.14
Value
$152.25
PnL
+$67.11
Record
48%
4819-5125 (9944)
Invested
$37.25
Value
$37.29
PnL
+$0.04
Record
99%
872-2 (874)
Invested
$57.73
Value
—
PnL
-$57.73
Record
39%
1657-2634 (4291)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
$10.12
PnL
+$3.19
Record
35%
516-946 (1462)
Invested
$11.47
Value
$10.08
PnL
+$0.61
Record
53%
7602-6693 (14295)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$19.29
Value
—
PnL
-$19.29
Record
48%
1342-1442 (2784)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$16.48
Value
—
PnL
-$16.48
Record
48%
1389-1483 (2872)
Invested
$10.78
Value
—
PnL
-$10.78
Record
45%
1018-1224 (2242)
Invested
$9.38
Value
—
PnL
-$9.38
Record
52%
2587-2373 (4960)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
+$0.79
Record
83%
1030-210 (1240)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
+$0.1
Record
53%
1989-1729 (3718)