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Over
RN1ARB<$100UnderUnderOverUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Vis Pesaro 1898 vs. US Pianese: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
3
Over 67%
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
$858.43
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 3 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$969.03
Total Shares969
Combined PnL+$859.53
Under1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$1.1
Over β 67%Under β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 10Β’ | $107.62 | $966.14 | +$858.52 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Underavg 21Β’ | $235.06 | $234.05 | -$1.01 | 55% 5370-4319 (9689) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 21Β’ | $214 | β | -$214 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 9Β’ | $21.06 | $234.05 | +$212.99 | |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 21Β’ | $128.68 | $290 | +$161.32 | 53% 2094-1845 (3939) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 10Β’ | $29 | $290 | +$261 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 21Β’ | $99.68 | β | -$99.68 | |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 65Β’ | $1.88 | $2.89 | +$1.01 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 22Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 42% 1002-1373 (2375) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$107.62
Value
$966.14
PnL
+$858.52
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$235.06
Value
$234.05
PnL
-$1.01
Record
55%
5370-4319 (9689)
Both legs:
Under$21421Β’-$214
Over$21.069Β’+$212.99
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$128.68
Value
$290
PnL
+$161.32
Record
53%
2094-1845 (3939)
Both legs:
Over$2910Β’+$261
Under$99.6821Β’-$99.68
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$1.88
Value
$2.89
PnL
+$1.01
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
42%
1002-1373 (2375)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x835f5eeb...3560d2
Slug
serc-p98-pia-2026-11-14-total-4pt5