Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
AS Gubbio vs. US Grosseto: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
$515.64
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 63.6¢ | $598.12 | $183 | -$415.12 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 63.6¢ | $508.54 | — | -$508.54 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 49¢ | $89.58 | $183 | +$93.42 | |
MA MadridTime | Underavg 36.2¢ | $253.73 | $700.97 | +$447.24 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
LI LightParadox | Underavg 44.5¢ | $100.69 | $226.3 | +$125.61 | 37% 1002-1720 (2722) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 54.8¢ | $110.88 | — | -$110.88 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 35.9¢ | $19.46 | $54.21 | +$34.75 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Underavg 38¢ | $12.28 | $32.29 | +$20.01 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 52¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 37% 1063-1796 (2859) |
Invested
$598.12
Value
$183
PnL
-$415.12
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Invested
$253.73
Value
$700.97
PnL
+$447.24
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
Invested
$100.69
Value
$226.3
PnL
+$125.61
Record
37%
1002-1720 (2722)
Invested
$110.88
Value
—
PnL
-$110.88
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Invested
$19.46
Value
$54.21
PnL
+$34.75
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
Invested
$12.28
Value
$32.29
PnL
+$20.01
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
37%
1063-1796 (2859)