Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will AS Gubbio win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved Yes. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Yes 29%
$1.0K
$33.16
Smart Money Signal
5 of 15 top traders (33%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 46.9¢ | $632.28 | $816.89 | +$184.61 | 49% 4068-4262 (8330) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 41.3¢ | $98.78 | — | -$98.78 | 37% 1116-1869 (2985) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Yesavg 29.3¢ | $26.62 | $91 | +$64.38 | 45% 699-859 (1558) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Yesavg 38¢ | $25.89 | $54 | +$34.11 | 35% 394-728 (1122) |
 dips.<$100 | Yesavg 68¢ | $36.72 | $54 | +$17.28 | 47% 1014-1141 (2155) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 73.6¢ | $70.83 | — | -$70.83 | 37% 1035-1784 (2819) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $30.6 | — | -$30.6 | 55% 527-431 (958) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | $27.3 | — | -$27.3 | 38% 1060-1756 (2816) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | $0.29 | $0.9 | +$0.61 | 31% 370-819 (1189) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | $13.2 | — | -$13.2 | 37% 1030-1762 (2792) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Noavg 31¢ | $5.58 | — | -$5.58 | 48% 2212-2378 (4590) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 47¢ | $7.69 | — | -$7.69 | 49% 1212-1274 (2486) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Noavg 49.3¢ | $7.4 | — | -$7.4 | 45% 856-1036 (1892) |
TH thatsabing0CTR<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $4.53 | — | -$4.53 | 63% 222-133 (355) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 47¢ | $1.92 | — | -$1.92 | 53% 7192-6289 (13481) |
Invested
$632.28
Value
$816.89
PnL
+$184.61
Record
49%
4068-4262 (8330)
Invested
$98.78
Value
—
PnL
-$98.78
Record
37%
1116-1869 (2985)
Invested
$26.62
Value
$91
PnL
+$64.38
Record
45%
699-859 (1558)
Invested
$25.89
Value
$54
PnL
+$34.11
Record
35%
394-728 (1122)
dips.<$100Invested
$36.72
Value
$54
PnL
+$17.28
Record
47%
1014-1141 (2155)
Invested
$70.83
Value
—
PnL
-$70.83
Record
37%
1035-1784 (2819)
Invested
$30.6
Value
—
PnL
-$30.6
Record
55%
527-431 (958)
Invested
$27.3
Value
—
PnL
-$27.3
Record
38%
1060-1756 (2816)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$0.29
Value
$0.9
PnL
+$0.61
Record
31%
370-819 (1189)
Invested
$13.2
Value
—
PnL
-$13.2
Record
37%
1030-1762 (2792)
Invested
$5.58
Value
—
PnL
-$5.58
Record
48%
2212-2378 (4590)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$7.69
Value
—
PnL
-$7.69
Record
49%
1212-1274 (2486)
Invested
$7.4
Value
—
PnL
-$7.4
Record
45%
856-1036 (1892)
Invested
$4.53
Value
—
PnL
-$4.53
Record
63%
222-133 (355)
Invested
$1.92
Value
—
PnL
-$1.92
Record
53%
7192-6289 (13481)