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UnderUnder
poshposhCTR<$100Under
VeryLucky888CTR<$100UnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Giugliano Calcio 1928 vs. AC Savoia 1908: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 100%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
-$47.62
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares74
Combined PnL-$47.89
Over1 trader
Total Value$0.01
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0.27
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 52¢ | $18.37 | — | -$18.37 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 38.9¢ | $13.26 | — | -$13.26 | 39% 1558-2440 (3998) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $13.76 | — | -$13.76 | 49% 1311-1390 (2701) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 53% 1889-1648 (3537) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 79¢ | $5.26 | $0.01 | +$0.27 | 82% 279-60 (339) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$18.37
Value
—
PnL
-$18.37
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$13.26
Value
—
PnL
-$13.26
Record
39%
1558-2440 (3998)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$13.76
Value
—
PnL
-$13.76
Record
49%
1311-1390 (2701)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
53%
1889-1648 (3537)
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$5.26
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0.27
Record
82%
279-60 (339)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x389a8743...fd1f0f
Slug
serc-giu-sav-2026-11-15-total-2pt5