Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was AC Savoia 1908 — but Giugliano Calcio 1928 won instead.

Spread: AC Savoia 1908 (-1.5)

Resolved Giugliano Calcio 1928. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held AC Savoia 1908. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

AC Savoia 1908 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$152.42

Combined PnL

$27.01

AC Savoia 1908

2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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AC Savoia 19080%

Giugliano Calcio 1928100%

Giugliano Calcio 19283 traders

Total Value$86

Total Shares86

Combined PnL+$47.98

AC Savoia 19082 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares45

Combined PnL-$20.97

Giugliano Calcio 1928 — 60%AC Savoia 1908 — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	AC Savoia 1908avg 77.6¢	$426.71	$66.43	-$360.29	49% 4635-4904 (9539)
└ AC Savoia 1908 leg	AC Savoia 1908avg 77.6¢	$408.11	—	-$408.11
└ Giugliano Calcio 1928 leg	Giugliano Calcio 1928avg 28¢	$18.6	$66.43	+$47.83
LO looppau<$100	Giugliano Calcio 1928avg 99.9¢	$85.9	$85.99	+$0.09	99% 826-2 (828)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	AC Savoia 1908avg 38¢	$13.05	—	-$13.05	39% 1558-2440 (3998)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	AC Savoia 1908avg 36¢	$7.92	—	-$7.92	46% 972-1163 (2135)
VA Vampiro1<$100	Giugliano Calcio 1928avg 64.5¢	$88.64	$0.01	+$36.33	82% 279-60 (339)
ARTEM-DZYUBA	Giugliano Calcio 1928avg 91¢	$118.25	—	+$11.56	83% 962-202 (1164)