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NoNoNoNoNoYes
tradecraftCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will AZ Picerno win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 71%
Total Value
$769.03
Combined PnL
$61.5
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$769.03
Total Shares769
Combined PnL+$67.07
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares549
Combined PnL-$5.57
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 99.8¢ | $291.77 | $277.99 | -$13.78 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 98¢ | $243.59 | $248.56 | +$4.97 | 53% 2094-1845 (3939) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 70¢ | $143.58 | $205.12 | +$61.54 | 47% 899-999 (1898) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 62¢ | $13.86 | $22.36 | +$8.5 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | $9.15 | $15 | +$5.85 | 34% 370-706 (1076) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 52% 828-769 (1597) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $4.97 | — | -$4.97 | 30% 340-779 (1119) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$291.77
Value
$277.99
PnL
-$13.78
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$243.59
Value
$248.56
PnL
+$4.97
Record
53%
2094-1845 (3939)
SN
SnakeBallInvested
$143.58
Value
$205.12
PnL
+$61.54
Record
47%
899-999 (1898)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$13.86
Value
$22.36
PnL
+$8.5
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
SL
SlickRick123<$100Invested
$9.15
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.85
Record
34%
370-706 (1076)
NO
NotJumpCTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
52%
828-769 (1597)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$4.97
Value
—
PnL
-$4.97
Record
30%
340-779 (1119)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x54d027e0...a35e02
Slug
serc-cas-azp-2026-11-14-azp