Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Barletta Calcio win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved Yes. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
No 88%
$5.01
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 68¢ | $953.14 | — | -$953.14 | 48% 4819-5125 (9944) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 35.9¢ | $36.79 | — | -$36.79 | 39% 1657-2634 (4291) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Yesavg 96¢ | $4.81 | $5.01 | +$0.2 | 45% 1018-1224 (2242) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Noavg 67¢ | $37.52 | — | -$37.52 | 46% 911-1085 (1996) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 67¢ | $29.48 | — | -$29.48 | 48% 1342-1442 (2784) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 48¢ | $13.09 | — | -$13.09 | 53% 1989-1729 (3718) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 13¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 48% 1389-1483 (2872) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | $2.47 | — | -$2.47 | 53% 7602-6693 (14295) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | $50 | $0 | -$2.2 | 83% 306-61 (367) |
Invested
$953.14
Value
—
PnL
-$953.14
Record
48%
4819-5125 (9944)
Invested
$36.79
Value
—
PnL
-$36.79
Record
39%
1657-2634 (4291)
Invested
$4.81
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$0.2
Record
45%
1018-1224 (2242)
Invested
$37.52
Value
—
PnL
-$37.52
Record
46%
911-1085 (1996)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$29.48
Value
—
PnL
-$29.48
Record
48%
1342-1442 (2784)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$13.09
Value
—
PnL
-$13.09
Record
53%
1989-1729 (3718)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
48%
1389-1483 (2872)
Invested
$2.47
Value
—
PnL
-$2.47
Record
53%
7602-6693 (14295)
Invested
$50
Value
$0
PnL
-$2.2
Record
83%
306-61 (367)