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OverOverOver
poshposh<$100OverUnderUnder
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
FC Arzignano Valchiampo vs. Alcione Milano: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Over 67%
Total Value
$116.83
Combined PnL
$24.3
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$116.83
Total Shares117
Combined PnL+$28.12
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares72
Combined PnL-$3.82
Over — 67%Under — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 62¢ | $40.78 | $65.78 | +$25 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 68¢ | $24.03 | $26 | +$1.97 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 99¢ | $19.8 | $20 | +$0.2 | 99% 465-7 (472) |
poshposh<$100 | Overavg 62¢ | $4.1 | $5.05 | +$0.95 | 48% 1130-1207 (2337) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Underavg 5¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 53% 7092-6207 (13299) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 6¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 45% 810-993 (1803) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$40.78
Value
$65.78
PnL
+$25
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$24.03
Value
$26
PnL
+$1.97
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$19.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.2
Record
99%
465-7 (472)
poshposh<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.95
Record
48%
1130-1207 (2337)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
53%
7092-6207 (13299)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
45%
810-993 (1803)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x731ccf2c...0e746c
Slug
serc-arz-alc-2026-11-14-total-4pt5