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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will FC Arzignano Valchiampo win on 2026-11-14?

Resolved Yes. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Yes 50%

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$8.6

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 11 top traders (45%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes5 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,580
Combined PnL+$211.31
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,236
Combined PnL-$202.72
Yes — 45%No — 55%
FL
Flaznorp
Yes

Invested

$1,191.1

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$208.66

Record

49%

3844-4007 (7851)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Yes

Invested

$105.93

Value

$107

PnL

+$1.07

Record

99%

465-7 (472)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
Yes

Invested

$39.15

Value

$35.56

PnL

+$5.85

Record

48%

2091-2257 (4348)

poshposh<$100
Yes

Invested

$38.06

Value

$32.45

PnL

-$5.61

Record

48%

1130-1207 (2337)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
No

Invested

$37.98

Value

—

PnL

-$37.98

Record

37%

1030-1738 (2768)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR
No

Invested

$151.41

Value

—

PnL

-$151.41

Record

53%

2094-1845 (3939)

LR
lryyy<$100
Yes

Invested

$3.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.35

Record

45%

810-993 (1803)

SM
smithagentCTR<$100
No

Invested

$22.23

Value

—

PnL

+$6.11

Record

45%

659-820 (1479)

LI
LimousinCTR<$100
No

Invested

$30.25

Value

—

PnL

-$30.25

Record

36%

937-1647 (2584)

SL
SlickRick123CTR<$100
No

Invested

$28.53

Value

—

PnL

-$10.53

Record

34%

370-706 (1076)

AH
aHjCzCTR<$100
No

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

+$21.34

Record

25%

1317-3971 (5288)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe428eefc...a4a3f8
Slug
serc-arz-alc-2026-11-14-arz

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

Yes — $1.4K

+$208.66
0X

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Yes — $107

+$1.07
FE

ferdinand2

Yes — $35.56

+$5.85

poshposh

Yes — $32.45

-$5.61
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

No — $0

-$37.98
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

No — $0

-$151.41
LR

lryyy

Yes — $5

+$1.35
SM

smithagent

CTR

No — $0

+$6.11
LI

Limousin

CTR

No — $0

-$30.25
SL

SlickRick123

CTR

No — $0

-$10.53
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