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No
poshposh<$100NoYesNoNo
dips.CTR<$100YesYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Alcione Milano win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 57%
Total Value
$116.13
Combined PnL
$24.34
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$116.13
Total Shares116
Combined PnL+$75.33
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares187
Combined PnL-$50.99
No — 63%Yes — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Noavg 34¢ | $18.02 | $53 | +$34.98 | 34% 370-706 (1076) |
poshposh<$100 | Noavg 35.2¢ | $12.39 | $29.58 | +$17.19 | 48% 1130-1207 (2337) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 41.1¢ | $34.23 | — | -$34.23 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 76.4¢ | $17.23 | $22.55 | +$5.32 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Noavg 35¢ | $5.17 | $11 | +$5.83 | 45% 810-993 (1803) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $5.58 | — | -$5.58 | 47% 971-1102 (2073) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $11.18 | — | -$11.18 | 25% 1317-3971 (5288) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Noavg 34¢ | $8 | — | +$12 | 45% 659-820 (1479) |
SL
SlickRick123<$100Invested
$18.02
Value
$53
PnL
+$34.98
Record
34%
370-706 (1076)
poshposh<$100Invested
$12.39
Value
$29.58
PnL
+$17.19
Record
48%
1130-1207 (2337)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$34.23
Value
—
PnL
-$34.23
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$17.23
Value
$22.55
PnL
+$5.32
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$5.17
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.83
Record
45%
810-993 (1803)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$5.58
Value
—
PnL
-$5.58
Record
47%
971-1102 (2073)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$11.18
Value
—
PnL
-$11.18
Record
25%
1317-3971 (5288)
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
+$12
Record
45%
659-820 (1479)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x38391ff9...850326
Slug
serc-arz-alc-2026-11-14-alc