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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will US Albinoleffe vs. Union Brescia end in a draw?

Resolved No. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

No 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$1.1K

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 14 top traders (79%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No11 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares1,784

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares86

Combined PnL-$112.3

No — 79%Yes — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Noavg 22.8¢	$193.26	$846.09	+$652.84	53% 2094-1845 (3939)
TO topdogbigboi	Noavg 47.3¢	$237.14	$491.93	+$254.79	37% 1030-1738 (2768)
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Yesavg 70.5¢	$911.53	$95.45	-$816.08	49% 3844-4007 (7851)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 70.5¢	$889.58	—	-$889.58
└ No leg	Noavg 23¢	$21.95	$95.45	+$73.5
SL SlickRick123	Noavg 42¢	$95.3	$198	+$119.25	34% 370-706 (1076)
poshposh	Noavg 47.3¢	$69.41	$137.94	+$68.52	48% 1130-1207 (2337)
LR lryyy<$100	Noavg 47.2¢	$44.87	$48.47	+$3.6	45% 810-993 (1803)
CI cigarettes<$100	Noavg 49.9¢	$25.82	$51.74	+$25.92	53% 7092-6207 (13299)
SM smithagent<$100	Noavg 25¢	$2.2	$8.78	+$6.58	45% 659-820 (1479)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Yesavg 67.9¢	$48.32	—	-$48.32	48% 2091-2257 (4348)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100	Yesavg 21¢	$3.15	—	-$3.15	44% 377-472 (849)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Noavg 88¢	$0.96	$1.09	+$0.13	38% 550-886 (1436)
VA Vampiro1	Noavg 70.8¢	$159.73	$0.02	+$61.45	84% 204-39 (243)
AH aHjCz<$100	Noavg 97¢	$12.61	—	-$3.94	25% 1317-3971 (5288)
BE BetyourselfCTR<$100	Yesavg 57.7¢	$76.79	—	-$60.83	94% 31-2 (33)
ARTEM-DZYUBA	Noavg 98¢	$181.57	—	+$3.47	83% 722-152 (874)

Invested

$193.26

Value

$846.09

PnL

+$652.84

Record

53%

2094-1845 (3939)

Invested

$237.14

Value

$491.93

PnL

+$254.79

Record

37%

1030-1738 (2768)

FlaznorpARB<$100

Invested

$911.53

Value

$95.45

PnL

-$816.08

Record

49%

3844-4007 (7851)

Both legs:

Yes$889.5870.5¢-$889.58

No$21.9523¢+$73.5

Invested

$95.3

Value

$198

PnL

+$119.25

Record

34%

370-706 (1076)

Invested

$69.41

Value

$137.94

PnL

+$68.52

Record

48%

1130-1207 (2337)

Invested

$44.87

Value

$48.47

PnL

+$3.6

Record

45%

810-993 (1803)

cigarettes<$100

Invested

$25.82

Value

$51.74

PnL

+$25.92

Record

53%

7092-6207 (13299)

smithagent<$100

Invested

$2.2

Value

$8.78

PnL

+$6.58

Record

45%

659-820 (1479)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Invested

$48.32

Value

—

PnL

-$48.32

Record

48%

2091-2257 (4348)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100

Invested

$3.15

Value

—

PnL

-$3.15

Record

44%

377-472 (849)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100

Invested

$0.96

Value

$1.09

PnL

+$0.13

Record

38%

550-886 (1436)

Invested

$159.73

Value

$0.02

PnL

+$61.45

Record

84%

204-39 (243)

Invested

$12.61

Value

—

PnL

-$3.94

Record

25%

1317-3971 (5288)

BetyourselfCTR<$100

Invested

$76.79

Value

—

PnL

-$60.83

Record

94%

31-2 (33)

Invested

$181.57

Value

—

PnL

+$3.47

Record

83%

722-152 (874)

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 14 top traders (79%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7c339a2e...abcd33

Slug

serc-alb-uni-2026-11-14-draw

Traders in this Market

GoalLineGhost

No — $846.09

topdogbigboi

No — $491.93

Flaznorp

Arbitrage — excluded

SlickRick123

No — $198

poshposh

No — $137.94

lryyy

No — $48.47

cigarettes

No — $51.74

smithagent

No — $8.78

ferdinand2

Yes — $0

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0

Yes — $0

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