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Over
poshposhCTR<$100UnderUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
AC Renate vs. Calcio Desenzano: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$25
Combined PnL
-$16.83
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$25
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$0.23
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares121
Combined PnL-$17.06
Over — 20%Under — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Overavg 99.1¢ | $24.78 | $25 | +$0.23 | 94% 118-8 (126) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 48% 1130-1207 (2337) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 7.8¢ | $3.27 | — | -$3.27 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 53¢ | $13.25 | — | -$13.25 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 45% 810-993 (1803) |
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$24.78
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.23
Record
94%
118-8 (126)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
48%
1130-1207 (2337)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$3.27
Value
—
PnL
-$3.27
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$13.25
Value
—
PnL
-$13.25
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
45%
810-993 (1803)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36d7d117...7574d5
Slug
serc-acr-des-2026-11-14-total-4pt5