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NoYesNo
dips.CTR<$100NoYesNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will AC Renate vs. Calcio Desenzano end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 67%
Total Value
$54.36
Combined PnL
-$138.37
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares208
Combined PnL-$169.7
Yes2 traders
Total Value$54.36
Total Shares54
Combined PnL+$31.33
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 89¢ | $122.9 | — | -$122.9 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Yesavg 51.3¢ | $22.5 | $43.85 | +$21.35 | 37% 972-1637 (2609) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 36.6¢ | $17.09 | — | -$17.09 | 37% 1030-1738 (2768) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | $16.17 | — | -$16.17 | 47% 971-1102 (2073) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $0.53 | $10.51 | +$9.98 | 47% 899-999 (1898) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 84.1¢ | $13.54 | — | -$13.54 | 53% 7092-6207 (13299) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $12.7 | — | -$0.01 | 53% 1366-1192 (2558) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$122.9
Value
—
PnL
-$122.9
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$22.5
Value
$43.85
PnL
+$21.35
Record
37%
972-1637 (2609)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$17.09
Value
—
PnL
-$17.09
Record
37%
1030-1738 (2768)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$16.17
Value
—
PnL
-$16.17
Record
47%
971-1102 (2073)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$0.53
Value
$10.51
PnL
+$9.98
Record
47%
899-999 (1898)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$13.54
Value
—
PnL
-$13.54
Record
53%
7092-6207 (13299)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$12.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
53%
1366-1192 (2558)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe26e2dec...8d751c
Slug
serc-acr-des-2026-11-14-draw