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Yes
alpheclabs2<$100YesYesNoNoNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will AC Trento win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved Yes. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$291
Combined PnL
$0.9
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 6 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$33.1
Total Shares33
Combined PnL+$4.87
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares9
Combined PnL-$3.97
Yes — 33%No — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 27.8¢ | $136.72 | $257.9 | +$121.19 | 49% 4068-4262 (8330) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 27.8¢ | $71.66 | $257.9 | +$186.24 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 57.1¢ | $65.05 | — | -$65.05 | |
alpheclabs2<$100 | Yesavg 84¢ | $21.84 | $26 | +$4.16 | 46% 309-368 (677) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Yesavg 90¢ | $6.39 | $7.1 | +$0.71 | 35% 394-728 (1122) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 29.1¢ | $1.57 | — | -$1.57 | 37% 1116-1869 (2985) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 37% 1030-1762 (2792) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 37% 1053-1783 (2836) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$0.05 | 54% 1473-1278 (2751) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$136.72
Value
$257.9
PnL
+$121.19
Record
49%
4068-4262 (8330)
Both legs:
Yes$71.6627.8¢+$186.24
No$65.0557.1¢-$65.05
alpheclabs2<$100Invested
$21.84
Value
$26
PnL
+$4.16
Record
46%
309-368 (677)
SL
SlickRick123<$100Invested
$6.39
Value
$7.1
PnL
+$0.71
Record
35%
394-728 (1122)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$1.57
Value
—
PnL
-$1.57
Record
37%
1116-1869 (2985)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
37%
1030-1762 (2792)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
37%
1053-1783 (2836)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
54%
1473-1278 (2751)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf81e91bb...a49d4c
Slug
serc-acl-tren-2026-11-14-tren