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UnderOverOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
AC Lumezzane vs. AC Trento: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 40%
Total Value
$230.59
Combined PnL
-$441.14
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares748
Combined PnL-$444.96
Over3 traders
Total Value$230.59
Total Shares231
Combined PnL+$3.83
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 53.7¢ | $413.76 | — | -$413.76 | 49% 3969-4117 (8086) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Overavg 99¢ | $132.25 | $133.59 | +$1.34 | 99% 480-7 (487) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Overavg 99.1¢ | $76.31 | $77 | +$0.69 | 94% 120-8 (128) |
BI biying99999CTR<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $31.2 | — | -$31.2 | 36% 114-200 (314) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Overavg 91¢ | $18.2 | $20 | +$1.8 | 45% 679-837 (1516) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$413.76
Value
—
PnL
-$413.76
Record
49%
3969-4117 (8086)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105Invested
$132.25
Value
$133.59
PnL
+$1.34
Record
99%
480-7 (487)
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$76.31
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.69
Record
94%
120-8 (128)
BI
biying99999CTR<$100Invested
$31.2
Value
—
PnL
-$31.2
Record
36%
114-200 (314)
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$18.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.8
Record
45%
679-837 (1516)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5c60c6d0...5aca3f
Slug
serc-acl-tren-2026-11-14-total-2pt5