Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Over 43%
5 arb excluded
$20.8K
$-4.6K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 34 top traders (44%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed19 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UE uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9 | Overavg 86.3¢ | $5.8K | $6.6K | +$813.06 | 58% 335-238 (573) |
 RN1 | Overavg 59.9¢ | $3.5K | $4.7K | +$1.2K | 54% 58173-50394 (108567) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 65.9¢ | $3.8K | $2.7K | -$262.12 | 51% 17649-16650 (34299) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 65.9¢ | $1.8K | $2.7K | +$905.13 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 54.6¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | |
 ER72SENARB<$100 | Overavg 82.4¢ | $1.9K | $2.0K | +$66.05 | 68% 338-156 (494) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 82.4¢ | $1.6K | $2.0K | +$344.38 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 14.2¢ | $278.33 | — | -$278.33 | |
US user921123CTR | Underavg 14.8¢ | $960.83 | — | -$937.97 | 60% 996-677 (1673) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Overavg 57.4¢ | $1.8K | $1.6K | +$312.2 | 47% 13102-14675 (27777) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 57.4¢ | $899.54 | $1.6K | +$665.91 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 32¢ | $382.96 | — | -$353.71 | |
 6kke1tCTR | Underavg 15.2¢ | $613.35 | — | -$613.35 | 46% 878-1016 (1894) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 32.3¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 50% 26441-26261 (52702) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 39.3¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 51% 317-303 (620) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 57.2¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 53% 337-294 (631) |
 GaoJin-GamblingGodCTR | Underavg 49¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 50% 556-558 (1114) |
DI dips. | Overavg 84.3¢ | $696.41 | $802.37 | +$117.51 | 46% 7328-8524 (15852) |
TO topdogbigboi | Overavg 78.2¢ | $643.91 | $754.34 | +$110.43 | 47% 10069-11208 (21277) |
AN AnonymousUsername | Overavg 41¢ | $300.94 | $734 | +$433.06 | 72% 6936-2746 (9682) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Underavg 61¢ | $618.85 | — | -$609.85 | 58% 43654-31752 (75406) |
AN Anon455ARB<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $171.25 | $250 | +$35 | 55% 3168-2584 (5752) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 37¢ | $92.5 | $250 | +$113.75 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 48¢ | $120 | — | -$78.75 | |
0X 0xbf2342fds234423d | Overavg 83.7¢ | $286.23 | $341.9 | +$55.67 | 50% 659-647 (1306) |
 nigiri99CTR | Underavg 59¢ | $418.31 | — | -$418.31 | 46% 7291-8601 (15892) |
 bernardi22CTR<$100 | Underavg 9.8¢ | $51.68 | — | -$51.68 | 56% 1324-1051 (2375) |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $533 | $64 | -$249.71 | 53% 344-310 (654) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 60¢ | $281.4 | — | -$281.43 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 50.4¢ | $32.28 | $64 | +$31.72 | |
AR ARocky33 | Overavg 73.3¢ | $109.03 | $148.81 | +$39.78 | 76% 4239-1325 (5564) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 85¢ | $78.84 | $92.77 | +$13.93 | 55% 8538-6853 (15391) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100 | Underavg 56¢ | $70.04 | — | -$70.04 | 46% 9230-10953 (20183) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Underavg 61¢ | $47.58 | — | -$47.58 | 58% 29915-21972 (51887) |
 poshposh<$100 | Overavg 77¢ | $18.55 | $18.94 | +$0.39 | 58% 11469-8326 (19795) |
Invested
$5,797.56
Value
$6.6K
PnL
+$813.06
Record
58%
335-238 (573)
RN1Invested
$3,503.62
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
54%
58173-50394 (108567)
Invested
$3,824.51
Value
$2.7K
PnL
-$262.12
Record
51%
17649-16650 (34299)
Both legs:
ER72SENARB<$100Invested
$1,893.96
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$66.05
Record
68%
338-156 (494)
Both legs:
Invested
$960.83
Value
—
PnL
-$937.97
Record
60%
996-677 (1673)
Invested
$1,829.15
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$312.2
Record
47%
13102-14675 (27777)
Both legs:
6kke1tCTRInvested
$613.35
Value
—
PnL
-$613.35
Record
46%
878-1016 (1894)
Invested
$1,278.54
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
50%
26441-26261 (52702)
Invested
$1,044.73
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
51%
317-303 (620)
Invested
$1,235.62
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
53%
337-294 (631)
GaoJin-GamblingGodCTRInvested
$1,005.64
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
50%
556-558 (1114)
Invested
$696.41
Value
$802.37
PnL
+$117.51
Record
46%
7328-8524 (15852)
Invested
$643.91
Value
$754.34
PnL
+$110.43
Record
47%
10069-11208 (21277)
Invested
$300.94
Value
$734
PnL
+$433.06
Record
72%
6936-2746 (9682)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$618.85
Value
—
PnL
-$609.85
Record
58%
43654-31752 (75406)
Invested
$171.25
Value
$250
PnL
+$35
Record
55%
3168-2584 (5752)
Both legs:
Invested
$286.23
Value
$341.9
PnL
+$55.67
Record
50%
659-647 (1306)
nigiri99CTRInvested
$418.31
Value
—
PnL
-$418.31
Record
46%
7291-8601 (15892)
bernardi22CTR<$100Invested
$51.68
Value
—
PnL
-$51.68
Record
56%
1324-1051 (2375)
Invested
$533
Value
$64
PnL
-$249.71
Record
53%
344-310 (654)
Both legs:
Invested
$109.03
Value
$148.81
PnL
+$39.78
Record
76%
4239-1325 (5564)
Invested
$78.84
Value
$92.77
PnL
+$13.93
Record
55%
8538-6853 (15391)
Invested
$70.04
Value
—
PnL
-$70.04
Record
46%
9230-10953 (20183)
Invested
$47.58
Value
—
PnL
-$47.58
Record
58%
29915-21972 (51887)
poshposh<$100Invested
$18.55
Value
$18.94
PnL
+$0.39
Record
58%
11469-8326 (19795)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Over — $6.6K
RN1
Over — $4.7K
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ER72SEN
ARBArbitrage — excluded
user921123
CTRUnder — $0
38791873984189
ARBArbitrage — excluded
6kke1t
CTRUnder — $0
GoalLineGhost
CTRUnder — $0
Venusian
CTRUnder — $0
LightParadox
CTRUnder — $0