Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Over 63%
$90.41
-$145.03
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 89¢ | $53.42 | $60 | +$6.58 | 53% 337-294 (631) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Underavg 86¢ | $30.02 | $24.21 | -$5.81 | 49% 13483-14184 (27667) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 4.1¢ | $47.38 | — | -$45.28 | 47% 13102-14675 (27777) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 82¢ | $5.08 | $6.2 | +$1.12 | 58% 29915-21972 (51887) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.1¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 47% 10069-11208 (21277) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 4.8¢ | $4.0K | — | -$191.25 | 51% 17649-16650 (34299) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 15¢ | $9.43 | — | -$9.43 | 45% 13007-15781 (28788) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 1.7¢ | $0.94 | — | -$2.02 | 58% 11469-8326 (19795) |
GR graziek99 | Underavg 95¢ | $2.0K | $0 | +$103.16 | 87% 466-71 (537) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 2.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 58173-50394 (108567) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 21611-18652 (40263) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 34723-34187 (68910) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 17377-12977 (30354) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 6399-5797 (12196) |
Invested
$53.42
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.58
Record
53%
337-294 (631)
Invested
$30.02
Value
$24.21
PnL
-$5.81
Record
49%
13483-14184 (27667)
Invested
$47.38
Value
—
PnL
-$45.28
Record
47%
13102-14675 (27777)
Invested
$5.08
Value
$6.2
PnL
+$1.12
Record
58%
29915-21972 (51887)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
47%
10069-11208 (21277)
Invested
$3,967.1
Value
—
PnL
-$191.25
Record
51%
17649-16650 (34299)
Invested
$9.43
Value
—
PnL
-$9.43
Record
45%
13007-15781 (28788)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$2.02
Record
58%
11469-8326 (19795)
Invested
$2,000
Value
$0
PnL
+$103.16
Record
87%
466-71 (537)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
58173-50394 (108567)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
21611-18652 (40263)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
34723-34187 (68910)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
17377-12977 (30354)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
6399-5797 (12196)