Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Over 50%
1 arb excluded
$452.64
$35.89
Smart Money Signal
2 of 7 top traders (29%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 70.1¢ | $220.15 | $199.25 | -$20.91 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 70.1¢ | $139.75 | $199.25 | +$59.5 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 29.8¢ | $80.4 | — | -$80.4 | |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 68.5¢ | $152.98 | $223.33 | +$70.35 | 50% 29172-29037 (58209) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Underavg 29¢ | $43.5 | — | -$43.5 | 48% 63191-68207 (131398) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Overavg 72¢ | $21.65 | $30.06 | +$9.47 | 50% 21550-21844 (43394) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Underavg 30¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 64% 10183-5729 (15912) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 32¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 21689-15792 (37481) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | — 1-0 (1) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 31.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 47503-34297 (81800) |
Invested
$220.15
Value
$199.25
PnL
-$20.91
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Both legs:
Invested
$152.98
Value
$223.33
PnL
+$70.35
Record
50%
29172-29037 (58209)
Invested
$43.5
Value
—
PnL
-$43.5
Record
48%
63191-68207 (131398)
Invested
$21.65
Value
$30.06
PnL
+$9.47
Record
50%
21550-21844 (43394)
Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
64%
10183-5729 (15912)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
21689-15792 (37481)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
1-0 (1)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
47503-34297 (81800)