Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$8.8K
$1.8K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dashattacker | Underavg 47.4Β’ | $2.1K | $4.3K | +$2.3K | 72% 2286-872 (3158) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 34Β’ | $1.4K | $4.2K | +$2.8K | 50% 24384-24001 (48385) |
LA LaarsYCTR | Overavg 55.7Β’ | $1.7K | β | $-1.7K | 50% 3375-3317 (6692) |
![]() RN1CTR | Overavg 60.9Β’ | $1.6K | β | $-1.6K | 54% 55742-47837 (103579) |
AN Anon455CTR | Overavg 55Β’ | $146.68 | β | -$146.68 | 56% 2631-2084 (4715) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191 | Underavg 32.8Β’ | $69.2 | $210.8 | +$141.6 | 47% 4451-4924 (9375) |
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Underavg 49Β’ | $41.83 | $51 | +$9.17 | 50% 10545-10397 (20942) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 49Β’ | $24.99 | $51 | +$26.01 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 40Β’ | $16.84 | β | -$16.84 | |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 66Β’ | $9.65 | $14.61 | +$4.96 | 53% 3098-2756 (5854) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Underavg 43Β’ | $6.09 | $14.17 | +$8.08 | 60% 9402-6388 (15790) |
HE hedgevaultmainnet1<$100 | Underavg 66Β’ | $5.47 | $8.29 | +$2.82 | 53% 2082-1842 (3924) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Underavg 32.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 18625-19055 (37680) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Underavg 24Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 60% 3251-2180 (5431) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Underavg 9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 13182-10033 (23215) |
Invested
$2,051.76
Value
$4.3K
PnL
+$2.3K
Record
72%
2286-872 (3158)
Invested
$1,422.25
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$2.8K
Record
50%
24384-24001 (48385)
Invested
$1,670
Value
β
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
50%
3375-3317 (6692)
RN1CTRInvested
$1,566.07
Value
β
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
54%
55742-47837 (103579)
Invested
$146.68
Value
β
PnL
-$146.68
Record
56%
2631-2084 (4715)
Invested
$69.2
Value
$210.8
PnL
+$141.6
Record
47%
4451-4924 (9375)
Invested
$41.83
Value
$51
PnL
+$9.17
Record
50%
10545-10397 (20942)
Both legs:
HRTrading<$100Invested
$9.65
Value
$14.61
PnL
+$4.96
Record
53%
3098-2756 (5854)
poshposh<$100Invested
$6.09
Value
$14.17
PnL
+$8.08
Record
60%
9402-6388 (15790)
Invested
$5.47
Value
$8.29
PnL
+$2.82
Record
53%
2082-1842 (3924)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18625-19055 (37680)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
3251-2180 (5431)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13182-10033 (23215)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dashattacker
Under β $4.3K
GoalLineGhost
Under β $4.2K
LaarsY
CTROver β $0

RN1
CTROver β $0
Anon455
CTROver β $0
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191
Under β $210.8
foooool
ARBArbitrage β excluded

HRTrading
Under β $14.61

poshposh
Under β $14.17
hedgevaultmainnet1
Under β $8.29