Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Over 57%
1 arb excluded
$15.7K
$4.5K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 19 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CH chongchong37 | Overavg 48¢ | $15.0K | $15.0K | +$7.8K | 53% 115-102 (217) |
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $12.1K | $410.2 | $-11.7K | 59% 46920-33177 (80097) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 49¢ | $12.0K | — | $-12.0K | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 15.1¢ | $61.89 | $410.2 | +$348.31 | |
TO topdogbigboi | Overavg 71.5¢ | $143.63 | $198.9 | +$55.27 | 48% 8966-9599 (18565) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 73.1¢ | $2.6K | — | $-2.6K | 72% 2540-972 (3512) |
 RN1CTR | Underavg 71.8¢ | $620.9 | — | -$620.9 | 54% 57170-49418 (106588) |
 bernardi22CTR<$100 | Underavg 8.5¢ | $61.84 | — | -$61.84 | 56% 1299-1019 (2318) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 86¢ | $17.6 | $20.47 | +$2.87 | 55% 8413-6766 (15179) |
 poshposh<$100 | Overavg 89¢ | $14.52 | $16.32 | +$1.8 | 58% 10670-7658 (18328) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Overavg 88¢ | $10 | $11.36 | +$1.36 | 67% 23467-11821 (35288) |
 Junior112CTR<$100 | Underavg 13¢ | $46.54 | — | -$46.54 | 43% 653-879 (1532) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 39¢ | $1.99 | $5.1 | +$3.11 | 49% 13022-13588 (26610) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $1.08 | $5 | +$3.92 | 53% 5642-5057 (10699) |
CA CannaeCTR<$100 | Underavg 12¢ | $8.15 | — | -$8.15 | 53% 16119-14285 (30404) |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100 | Underavg 3¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 47% 4653-5172 (9825) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Overavg 60¢ | $1.13 | $1.13 | +$0.45 | 55% 3010-2439 (5449) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 10.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33863-33445 (67308) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 40.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25666-25500 (51166) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
DA darkumbreon88<$100 | Overavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 1758-962 (2720) |
 eskillo | Overavg 87¢ | $166 | — | +$22.9 | 42% 599-832 (1431) |
Invested
$15,000
Value
$15.0K
PnL
+$7.8K
Record
53%
115-102 (217)
Invested
$12,109.47
Value
$410.2
PnL
$-11.7K
Record
59%
46920-33177 (80097)
Both legs:
Invested
$143.63
Value
$198.9
PnL
+$55.27
Record
48%
8966-9599 (18565)
Invested
$2,642.97
Value
—
PnL
$-2.6K
Record
72%
2540-972 (3512)
RN1CTRInvested
$620.9
Value
—
PnL
-$620.9
Record
54%
57170-49418 (106588)
bernardi22CTR<$100Invested
$61.84
Value
—
PnL
-$61.84
Record
56%
1299-1019 (2318)
Invested
$17.6
Value
$20.47
PnL
+$2.87
Record
55%
8413-6766 (15179)
poshposh<$100Invested
$14.52
Value
$16.32
PnL
+$1.8
Record
58%
10670-7658 (18328)
Invested
$10
Value
$11.36
PnL
+$1.36
Record
67%
23467-11821 (35288)
Junior112CTR<$100Invested
$46.54
Value
—
PnL
-$46.54
Record
43%
653-879 (1532)
Invested
$1.99
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$3.11
Record
49%
13022-13588 (26610)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.92
Record
53%
5642-5057 (10699)
Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
-$8.15
Record
53%
16119-14285 (30404)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
47%
4653-5172 (9825)
Invested
$1.13
Value
$1.13
PnL
+$0.45
Record
55%
3010-2439 (5449)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33863-33445 (67308)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25666-25500 (51166)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
1758-962 (2720)
eskilloInvested
$166
Value
—
PnL
+$22.9
Record
42%
599-832 (1431)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
chongchong37
Over — $15.0K
UpTheBlues
ARBArbitrage — excluded
topdogbigboi
Over — $198.9
dashattacker
CTRUnder — $0
RN1
CTRUnder — $0
bernardi22
CTRUnder — $0
User7429
Over — $20.47
poshposh
Over — $16.32
pauleta23
Over — $11.36
Junior112
CTRUnder — $0