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UnderOverOverUnder
RN1CTR<$100UnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 60%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
-$42.89
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares191
Combined PnL-$46.97
Over3 traders
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$4.08
Under — 57%Over — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 39¢ | $22.68 | — | -$22.68 | 49% 2142-2260 (4402) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Overavg 17¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0.08 | 48% 2081-2289 (4370) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Overavg 20¢ | $1 | $5 | +$4 | 50% 27934-27381 (55315) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 15¢ | $21 | — | -$21 | 47% 2072-2311 (4383) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | $3.29 | — | -$3.29 | 53% 70182-61748 (131930) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 21.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 47136-44473 (91609) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 195-151 (346) |
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$22.68
Value
—
PnL
-$22.68
Record
49%
2142-2260 (4402)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$15
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.08
Record
48%
2081-2289 (4370)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$1
Value
$5
PnL
+$4
Record
50%
27934-27381 (55315)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$21
Record
47%
2072-2311 (4383)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$3.29
Value
—
PnL
-$3.29
Record
53%
70182-61748 (131930)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
47136-44473 (91609)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
195-151 (346)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac5fdf82...8b5796
Slug
scop-hmi-fal-2026-11-08-total-4pt5