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YesNo
UdonsanYesNo
smellyEllieCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 40%
Total Value
$538.62
Combined PnL
-$137.39
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$363.12
Total Shares363
Combined PnL+$24.65
No3 traders
Total Value$175.5
Total Shares539
Combined PnL-$162.04
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $193.81 | $194 | +$0.19 | 99% 12648-181 (12829) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 34.8¢ | $240.89 | $175.5 | -$153.14 | 36% 14556-26000 (40556) |
Udonsan | Yesavg 85.5¢ | $144.66 | $169.12 | +$24.46 | 77% 221-65 (286) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 59¢ | $9.37 | — | -$4.87 | 57% 12904-9820 (22724) |
smellyEllieCTR<$100 | Noavg 10.5¢ | $4.02 | — | -$4.02 | 50% 935-945 (1880) |
ZX
zxc368Invested
$193.81
Value
$194
PnL
+$0.19
Record
99%
12648-181 (12829)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$240.89
Value
$175.5
PnL
-$153.14
Record
36%
14556-26000 (40556)
UdonsanInvested
$144.66
Value
$169.12
PnL
+$24.46
Record
77%
221-65 (286)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$9.37
Value
—
PnL
-$4.87
Record
57%
12904-9820 (22724)
smellyEllieCTR<$100Invested
$4.02
Value
—
PnL
-$4.02
Record
50%
935-945 (1880)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3ede4aa1...10b6d5
Slug
saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-16