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NoNoNoNo
tradecraft<$100No
VeryLucky888<$100NoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will SC Farense win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 86%
Total Value
$1.9K
Combined PnL
-$98.12
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No7 traders
Total Value$1.9K
Total Shares1,875
Combined PnL-$96.79
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$1.34
No — 88%Yes — 12%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 97.9¢ | $1.6K | $1.5K | -$133.48 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 95.5¢ | $274.56 | $287.5 | +$12.94 | 47% 1186-1362 (2548) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | $73.76 | $91.06 | +$17.3 | 38% 1342-2205 (3547) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 79.8¢ | $15.95 | $20 | +$4.05 | 48% 2522-2734 (5256) |
tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | $5.29 | $6.7 | +$1.41 | 34% 465-896 (1361) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | $3.76 | $4.76 | +$1 | 53% 1889-1648 (3537) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.7¢ | $1.34 | — | -$1.34 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Noavg 50¢ | $131 | — | +$0 | 64% 145-81 (226) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$1,598.46
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$133.48
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
SN
SnakeBallInvested
$274.56
Value
$287.5
PnL
+$12.94
Record
47%
1186-1362 (2548)
VE
Venusian<$100Invested
$73.76
Value
$91.06
PnL
+$17.3
Record
38%
1342-2205 (3547)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$15.95
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.05
Record
48%
2522-2734 (5256)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$5.29
Value
$6.7
PnL
+$1.41
Record
34%
465-896 (1361)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$3.76
Value
$4.76
PnL
+$1
Record
53%
1889-1648 (3537)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$1.34
Value
—
PnL
-$1.34
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$131
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
145-81 (226)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x45df72e1...61aba3
Slug
pt2-ton-far-2026-11-15-far