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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-11-08?

Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

3

No 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$8.0K

Combined PnL

$251.82

Smart Money Signal

No

2 of 3 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No2 traders
Total Value$1.0K
Total Shares1,023
Combined PnL+$379.15
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares194
Combined PnL-$127.32
No — 67%Yes — 33%
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100
No

Invested

$1,353.74

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$597.65

Record

51%

47280-44570 (91850)

Both legs:

Yes$1,547.6240¢$-3.8K
No$2,132.5360.2¢+$4.4K
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$2,256.55

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

50%

32573-32704 (65277)

Both legs:

Yes$1,605.31100¢$-2.2K
No$92.232.7¢+$3.3K
rayvanmechelen
No

Invested

$1,023.47

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$379.15

Record

53%

2982-2598 (5580)

VeryLucky888CTR
Yes

Invested

$127.32

Value

—

PnL

-$127.32

Record

59%

52363-37089 (89452)

OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

195-151 (346)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x175bafb4...a9d231
Slug
pt2-spo-ton-2026-11-08-ton

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$597.65
GO

GoalLineGhost

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$1.2K

rayvanmechelen

No — $1.0K

+$379.15

VeryLucky888

CTR

Yes — $0

-$127.32
OV

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

No — $0

+$0
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