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NoNo
VeryLucky888<$100NoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Leixoes SC vs. GD Chaves end in a draw?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
No 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$92.25
Combined PnL
-$1.58
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$29.48
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$0.83
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL-$0.74
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | $78.19 | $62.77 | -$15.42 | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 74¢ | $46.48 | $62.77 | +$16.29 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 11¢ | $31.71 | — | -$31.71 | |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $23.01 | $19.48 | -$3.53 | 52% 2600-2380 (4980) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $7.3 | $10 | +$2.7 | 54% 2011-1740 (3751) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100 | Yesavg 17.6¢ | $1.99 | — | -$0.74 | 22% 73-259 (332) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Noavg 50¢ | $514 | — | +$0 | 64% 150-86 (236) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$78.19
Value
$62.77
PnL
-$15.42
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
Both legs:
No$46.4874¢+$16.29
Yes$31.7111¢-$31.71
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$23.01
Value
$19.48
PnL
-$3.53
Record
52%
2600-2380 (4980)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$7.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.7
Record
54%
2011-1740 (3751)
0X
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100Invested
$1.99
Value
—
PnL
-$0.74
Record
22%
73-259 (332)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$514
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
150-86 (236)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x248906ee...e1c1df
Slug
pt2-lei-cha-2026-11-15-draw