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UnderUnderOverOverOverOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Amarante FC vs. FC Felgueiras 1932: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Under 33%
Total Value
$428.77
Combined PnL
-$365
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$428.77
Total Shares429
Combined PnL-$290.56
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,000
Combined PnL-$74.44
Under β 33%Over β 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FE ferdinand2 | Underavg 98Β’ | $217.56 | $222 | +$4.44 | 48% 2522-2734 (5256) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 97.8Β’ | $6.5K | $206.77 | -$295 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 1.5Β’ | $15.23 | β | -$15.23 | 38% 1318-2168 (3486) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100 | Overavg 6Β’ | $42.3 | β | -$42.3 | 48% 471-508 (979) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 6.5Β’ | $15.93 | β | -$15.93 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.8Β’ | $0.98 | β | -$0.98 | 35% 628-1146 (1774) |
FE
ferdinand2Invested
$217.56
Value
$222
PnL
+$4.44
Record
48%
2522-2734 (5256)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$6,456.81
Value
$206.77
PnL
-$295
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$15.23
Value
β
PnL
-$15.23
Record
38%
1318-2168 (3486)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100Invested
$42.3
Value
β
PnL
-$42.3
Record
48%
471-508 (979)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$15.93
Value
β
PnL
-$15.93
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.98
Value
β
PnL
-$0.98
Record
35%
628-1146 (1774)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7b5e9828...0ea83b
Slug
pt2-ama-fel-2026-11-15-total-4pt5