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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?

Resolved Yes. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Yes 75%

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$558.04

Smart Money Signal

Yes

9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes9 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,074

Combined PnL+$573.12

No4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares680

Combined PnL-$15.08

Yes — 69%No — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Parz1vaI	Yesavg 85.7¢	$1.1K	$1.5K	+$480.56	72% 3489-1330 (4819)
AR Arman2	Yesavg 99¢	$419.56	$504.64	+$85.08	57% 319-236 (555)
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100	Yesavg 88.9¢	$22.52	$30	+$7.49	78% 251-69 (320)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100	Noavg 2.2¢	$15.08	—	-$15.08	18% 519-2318 (2837)
balthazar<$100	Yesavg 97.2¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20834-13247 (34081)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Noavg 26.1¢	—	—	+$0	57% 13342-10199 (23541)
HI hithitfar<$100	Yesavg 93.7¢	—	—	+$0	57% 575-434 (1009)
LI lissartterCTR<$100	Noavg 33.7¢	—	—	+$0	42% 5201-7128 (12329)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100	Yesavg 87.5¢	—	—	+$0	56% 15268-11796 (27064)
Porx<$100	Yesavg 95.8¢	—	—	+$0	66% 1461-757 (2218)
Istaroth<$100	Yesavg 67.4¢	—	—	+$0	23% 288-962 (1250)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Yesavg 63.9¢	—	—	+$0	36% 15094-27222 (42316)
RA ratedCTR<$100	Noavg 10¢	—	—	+$0	29% 2850-6943 (9793)

Invested

$1,058.5

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$480.56

Record

72%

3489-1330 (4819)

Invested

$419.56

Value

$504.64

PnL

+$85.08

Record

57%

319-236 (555)

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100

Invested

$22.52

Value

$30

PnL

+$7.49

Record

78%

251-69 (320)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100

Invested

$15.08

Value

—

PnL

-$15.08

Record

18%

519-2318 (2837)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20834-13247 (34081)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

13342-10199 (23541)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

575-434 (1009)

lissartterCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

5201-7128 (12329)

ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

15268-11796 (27064)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

1461-757 (2218)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

23%

288-962 (1250)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

15094-27222 (42316)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

29%

2850-6943 (9793)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x44f17122...fd56a1

Slug

paris-curfew-effectively-lifted-by-november-7

Traders in this Market

Parz1vaI

Yes — $1.5K

Arman2

Yes — $504.64

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e

Yes — $30

LornaPredicts

No — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

ghorrock

No — $0

hithitfar

Yes — $0

lissartter

No — $0

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

Yes — $0

Porx

Yes — $0

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