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wagwanshawtyYesNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100NoYes
AhpoCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 50%
Total Value
$15.5K
Combined PnL
-$226.74
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$15.5K
Total Shares15,497
Combined PnL+$28.63
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares559
Combined PnL-$255.37
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
wagwanshawty | Yesavg 99.8¢ | $15.5K | $15.5K | +$28.63 | — 4-5 (9) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 46.9¢ | $324.84 | — | -$255.37 | 36% 15244-27336 (42580) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 525-2347 (2872) |
HI hithitfar<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 590-440 (1030) |
AhpoCTR<$100 | Noavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 87% 1613-251 (1864) |
wagwanshawtyInvested
$15,497.08
Value
$15.5K
PnL
+$28.63
Record
—
4-5 (9)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$324.84
Value
—
PnL
-$255.37
Record
36%
15244-27336 (42580)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
525-2347 (2872)
HI
hithitfar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
590-440 (1030)
AhpoCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
87%
1613-251 (1864)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8084019b...74c257
Slug
over-3b-crypto-hack-value-in-2026