Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Utah Royals FC win on 2026-11-06?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Yes 38%
1 arb excluded
$756.66
-$291.14
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $588.73 | $589.32 | +$0.59 | 99% 12926-106 (13032) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Noavg 37.4¢ | $1.0K | $56.88 | -$969.8 | 50% 28862-28672 (57534) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 37.4¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 12¢ | $6.83 | $56.88 | +$50.05 | |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Yesavg 41¢ | $50.14 | $57 | +$29.86 | 48% 62298-67159 (129457) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Yesavg 38.6¢ | $20.63 | $53.46 | +$32.84 | 66% 24430-12486 (36916) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Noavg 51.8¢ | $434.25 | — | -$327.48 | 54% 10365-8691 (19056) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 64.2¢ | $15.4 | — | -$15.4 | 47% 10970-12572 (23542) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 83.9¢ | $10.81 | — | -$10.81 | 51% 26991-25572 (52563) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 50% 26346-25970 (52316) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 28¢ | $0.58 | — | -$0.58 | 53% 24138-21186 (45324) |
Invested
$588.73
Value
$589.32
PnL
+$0.59
Record
99%
12926-106 (13032)
Invested
$1,026.67
Value
$56.88
PnL
-$969.8
Record
50%
28862-28672 (57534)
Both legs:
Invested
$50.14
Value
$57
PnL
+$29.86
Record
48%
62298-67159 (129457)
Invested
$20.63
Value
$53.46
PnL
+$32.84
Record
66%
24430-12486 (36916)
Invested
$434.25
Value
—
PnL
-$327.48
Record
54%
10365-8691 (19056)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$15.4
Value
—
PnL
-$15.4
Record
47%
10970-12572 (23542)
Invested
$10.81
Value
—
PnL
-$10.81
Record
51%
26991-25572 (52563)
Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
50%
26346-25970 (52316)
Invested
$0.58
Value
—
PnL
-$0.58
Record
53%
24138-21186 (45324)