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NoNoNo
VeryLucky888<$100NoNoNoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Kjelsaas win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 86%
Total Value
$567.45
Combined PnL
$43.96
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No7 traders
Total Value$567.45
Total Shares567
Combined PnL+$45.61
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$1.65
No — 88%Yes — 12%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | Noavg 55¢ | $183.33 | $333.33 | +$150 | 37% 972-1637 (2609) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 87.6¢ | $310.94 | $191.86 | -$119.08 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 64¢ | $9.61 | $15.02 | +$5.41 | 36% 937-1647 (2584) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $6.9 | $11.9 | +$5 | 53% 1366-1192 (2558) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $8.1 | $10.34 | +$2.24 | 42% 1002-1373 (2375) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | $2.96 | $5 | +$2.04 | 53% 2094-1845 (3939) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 48% 2091-2257 (4348) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Noavg 50¢ | $686 | — | +$0 | 69% 133-60 (193) |
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$183.33
Value
$333.33
PnL
+$150
Record
37%
972-1637 (2609)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$310.94
Value
$191.86
PnL
-$119.08
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
LI
Limousin<$100Invested
$9.61
Value
$15.02
PnL
+$5.41
Record
36%
937-1647 (2584)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$6.9
Value
$11.9
PnL
+$5
Record
53%
1366-1192 (2558)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$8.1
Value
$10.34
PnL
+$2.24
Record
42%
1002-1373 (2375)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$2.96
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.04
Record
53%
2094-1845 (3939)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
48%
2091-2257 (4348)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$686
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
133-60 (193)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0a6b36aa...b1eecd
Slug
nor2-kje-bja-2026-11-14-kje