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OverOverUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Darlington FC vs. Oxford City: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$90.72
Combined PnL
-$9.1
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$90.72
Total Shares91
Combined PnL-$0.39
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares168
Combined PnL-$8.71
Over β 40%Under β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 93.7Β’ | $81.2 | $83.53 | +$2.33 | 50% 1503-1507 (3010) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 95.5Β’ | $9.91 | $7.18 | -$2.72 | 56% 1533-1187 (2720) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 7.1Β’ | $3.97 | β | -$3.97 | 48% 190-206 (396) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 4.3Β’ | $4.12 | β | -$4.12 | 28% 278-729 (1007) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.8Β’ | $0.62 | β | -$0.62 | 34% 233-457 (690) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$81.2
Value
$83.53
PnL
+$2.33
Record
50%
1503-1507 (3010)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$9.91
Value
$7.18
PnL
-$2.72
Record
56%
1533-1187 (2720)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$3.97
Value
β
PnL
-$3.97
Record
48%
190-206 (396)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$4.12
Value
β
PnL
-$4.12
Record
28%
278-729 (1007)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$0.62
Value
β
PnL
-$0.62
Record
34%
233-457 (690)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x539c0cc9...f36f92
Slug
nln-dar-oxf-2026-11-10-total-0pt5