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NoYesYesYesYes
machinelearnedCTR<$100No
VeryLucky888<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Darlington FC vs. Oxford City end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 33%
Total Value
$324.93
Combined PnL
-$89.84
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$217.74
Total Shares443
Combined PnL-$167.99
Yes5 traders
Total Value$107.19
Total Shares107
Combined PnL+$78.15
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 69.9¢ | $347.23 | $217.74 | -$129.49 | 50% 1503-1507 (3010) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Yesavg 27.4¢ | $12.13 | $44.22 | +$32.09 | 41% 113-161 (274) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $9.32 | $32.97 | +$23.66 | 56% 1533-1187 (2720) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $4.8 | $20 | +$15.2 | 28% 278-729 (1007) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $3.1 | $10 | +$6.9 | 28% 274-715 (989) |
machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $38.5 | — | -$38.5 | 37% 395-676 (1071) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | $2 | — | +$0.3 | 51% 299-291 (590) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$347.23
Value
$217.74
PnL
-$129.49
Record
50%
1503-1507 (3010)
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
$12.13
Value
$44.22
PnL
+$32.09
Record
41%
113-161 (274)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$9.32
Value
$32.97
PnL
+$23.66
Record
56%
1533-1187 (2720)
VE
Venusian<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$15.2
Record
28%
278-729 (1007)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.9
Record
28%
274-715 (989)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$38.5
Value
—
PnL
-$38.5
Record
37%
395-676 (1071)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
+$0.3
Record
51%
299-291 (590)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x52097cc9...f38576
Slug
nln-dar-oxf-2026-11-10-draw