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UnderUnder
dips.CTR<$100OverOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 9.5
Resolved Under. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 71%
Total Value
$33.2
Combined PnL
-$46.04
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$33.2
Total Shares33
Combined PnL+$6.82
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares262
Combined PnL-$52.87
Under — 29%Over — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 79.1¢ | $21.28 | $26.66 | +$5.38 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 78¢ | $5.1 | $6.54 | +$1.44 | 46% 884-1056 (1940) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 20¢ | $21.1 | — | -$21.1 | 48% 1156-1264 (2420) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | Overavg 20¢ | $14.61 | — | -$14.61 | 49% 333-346 (679) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Overavg 18.6¢ | $8.54 | — | -$8.54 | 58% 3775-2737 (6512) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Overavg 21.3¢ | $4.18 | — | -$4.18 | 46% 809-954 (1763) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Overavg 20.9¢ | $5.98 | — | -$4.44 | 42% 384-536 (920) |
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$21.28
Value
$26.66
PnL
+$5.38
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
$6.54
PnL
+$1.44
Record
46%
884-1056 (1940)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$21.1
Value
—
PnL
-$21.1
Record
48%
1156-1264 (2420)
GA
GaditimaCTR<$100Invested
$14.61
Value
—
PnL
-$14.61
Record
49%
333-346 (679)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$8.54
Value
—
PnL
-$8.54
Record
58%
3775-2737 (6512)
SM
smithagentCTR<$100Invested
$4.18
Value
—
PnL
-$4.18
Record
46%
809-954 (1763)
US
User7429CTR<$100Invested
$5.98
Value
—
PnL
-$4.44
Record
42%
384-536 (920)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x40b6ba7f...85af8e
Slug
nhl-min-bos-2026-11-14-total-9pt5