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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Over 56%

Total Value

$154.32

Combined PnL

-$202.26

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under5 traders

Total Value$154.32

Total Shares154

Combined PnL+$61.74

Over5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares431

Combined PnL-$264

Under — 50%Over — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
dips.<$100	Underavg 80¢	$39.2	$49	+$9.8	48% 1156-1264 (2420)
LI LightParadox<$100	Underavg 41¢	$23.57	$57.49	+$33.92	38% 1223-2021 (3244)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Underavg 67.2¢	$23.97	$35.67	+$11.69	49% 4352-4620 (8972)
38 38791873984189<$100	Underavg 40¢	$5.83	$12.16	+$6.33	47% 3580-3963 (7543)
alpheclabs2CTR	Overavg 64.7¢	$133.88	—	-$133.88	45% 344-420 (764)
TA taylorsversionCTR<$100	Overavg 59¢	$53.99	—	-$53.99	53% 109-98 (207)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Overavg 72¢	$63.36	—	-$63.36	46% 884-1056 (1940)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Overavg 27.1¢	$11.5	—	-$11.5	50% 1850-1880 (3730)
RN1CTR<$100	Overavg 56¢	$1.27	—	-$1.27	55% 5758-4807 (10565)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Underavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)

Invested

$39.2

Value

$49

PnL

+$9.8

Record

48%

1156-1264 (2420)

LightParadox<$100

Invested

$23.57

Value

$57.49

PnL

+$33.92

Record

38%

1223-2021 (3244)

Invested

$23.97

Value

$35.67

PnL

+$11.69

Record

49%

4352-4620 (8972)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$5.83

Value

$12.16

PnL

+$6.33

Record

47%

3580-3963 (7543)

Invested

$133.88

Value

—

PnL

-$133.88

Record

45%

344-420 (764)

taylorsversionCTR<$100

Invested

$53.99

Value

—

PnL

-$53.99

Record

53%

109-98 (207)

Invested

$63.36

Value

—

PnL

-$63.36

Record

46%

884-1056 (1940)

Invested

$11.5

Value

—

PnL

-$11.5

Record

50%

1850-1880 (3730)

Invested

$1.27

Value

—

PnL

-$1.27

Record

55%

5758-4807 (10565)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$200

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5f2497fb...7b6151

Slug

nhl-col-mon-2026-11-14-total-5pt5

Traders in this Market

dips.

Under — $49

LightParadox

Under — $57.49

Flaznorp

Under — $35.67

38791873984189

Under — $12.16

alpheclabs2

Over — $0

taylorsversion

Over — $0

lryyy

Over — $0

Pan9X

Over — $0

RN1

Over — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Under — $0

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