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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

49ers vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 28.5

Resolved Over. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Under 33%

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$190.97

Smart Money Signal

Under

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,555

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Over6 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,233

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Under — 33%Over — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LI lightotunnel35CTR	Underavg 54.3¢	$1.8K	—	$-1.3K	29% 32-78 (110)
nigiri99	Overavg 47¢	$301.34	$522	+$276.66	51% 793-768 (1561)
DE degenm	Overavg 64¢	$307.45	$480.7	+$173.25	56% 22-17 (39)
FO Forecastication2	Overavg 47¢	$216.55	$460.74	+$244.19	44% 360-455 (815)
CI cigarettes	Overavg 44¢	$194.94	$443.04	+$248.1	53% 7633-6716 (14349)
38 38791873984189	Overavg 45.7¢	$768.44	$284.8	+$266	48% 4150-4555 (8705)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR	Underavg 53¢	$189.74	—	-$189.74	47% 536-593 (1129)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Underavg 34¢	$60.82	—	-$60.82	39% 1738-2713 (4451)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 47.5¢	$811.27	$41.3	+$184.15	54% 2084-1743 (3827)

lightotunnel35CTR

Invested

$1,766.87

Value

—

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

29%

32-78 (110)

Invested

$301.34

Value

$522

PnL

+$276.66

Record

51%

793-768 (1561)

Invested

$307.45

Value

$480.7

PnL

+$173.25

Record

56%

22-17 (39)

Forecastication2

Invested

$216.55

Value

$460.74

PnL

+$244.19

Record

44%

360-455 (815)

Invested

$194.94

Value

$443.04

PnL

+$248.1

Record

53%

7633-6716 (14349)

Invested

$768.44

Value

$284.8

PnL

+$266

Record

48%

4150-4555 (8705)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR

Invested

$189.74

Value

—

PnL

-$189.74

Record

47%

536-593 (1129)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$60.82

Value

—

PnL

-$60.82

Record

39%

1738-2713 (4451)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$811.27

Value

$41.3

PnL

+$184.15

Record

54%

2084-1743 (3827)

Smart Money Signal

Under

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xff74b1d9...213f9b

Slug

nfl-sf-dal-2026-11-15-1h-total-28pt5

Traders in this Market

lightotunnel35

Under — $0

nigiri99

Over — $522

degenm

Over — $480.7

Forecastication2

Over — $460.74

cigarettes

Over — $443.04

38791873984189

Over — $284.8

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Under — $0

topdogbigboi

Under — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $41.3

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