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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Rams vs. Cardinals: 1H O/U 19.5

Resolved Over. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Under 44%

Total Value

$3.9K

Combined PnL

-$709.92

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,634

Combined PnL$-4.1K

Over5 traders

Total Value$3.9K

Total Shares3,855

Combined PnL+$3.4K

Under — 44%Over — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PA pagliacci4CTR	Underavg 93.8¢	$3.3K	—	$-3.3K	73% 87-33 (120)
CM cm2897CTR	Underavg 55.3¢	$657.8	—	-$657.8	49% 1281-1325 (2606)
FO Forecastication2CTR	Underavg 47.6¢	$132.8	—	-$132.8	44% 360-455 (815)
alpheclabs2	Overavg 6¢	$154.62	$2.6K	+$2.4K	45% 389-480 (869)
TH TheWindKnowsmyNameCTR<$100	Underavg 47¢	$33.36	—	-$33.36	20% 41-169 (210)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 7.2¢	$331.51	$502	+$480	54% 2084-1743 (3827)
38 38791873984189	Overavg 8.4¢	$189.37	$419.01	+$347.58	48% 4150-4555 (8705)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382	Overavg 52.5¢	$183.82	$349.98	+$166.16	47% 536-593 (1129)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Overavg 7¢	$0.51	$7.33	+$6.82	39% 1738-2713 (4451)

Invested

$3,308.9

Value

—

PnL

$-3.3K

Record

73%

87-33 (120)

Invested

$657.8

Value

—

PnL

-$657.8

Record

49%

1281-1325 (2606)

Forecastication2CTR

Invested

$132.8

Value

—

PnL

-$132.8

Record

44%

360-455 (815)

Invested

$154.62

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$2.4K

Record

45%

389-480 (869)

TheWindKnowsmyNameCTR<$100

Invested

$33.36

Value

—

PnL

-$33.36

Record

20%

41-169 (210)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$331.51

Value

$502

PnL

+$480

Record

54%

2084-1743 (3827)

Invested

$189.37

Value

$419.01

PnL

+$347.58

Record

48%

4150-4555 (8705)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Invested

$183.82

Value

$349.98

PnL

+$166.16

Record

47%

536-593 (1129)

topdogbigboi<$100

Invested

$0.51

Value

$7.33

PnL

+$6.82

Record

39%

1738-2713 (4451)

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb34d7848...6da07a

Slug

nfl-la-ari-2026-11-15-1h-total-19pt5

Traders in this Market

pagliacci4

Under — $0

cm2897

Under — $0

Forecastication2

Under — $0

alpheclabs2

Over — $2.6K

TheWindKnowsmyName

Under — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $502

38791873984189

Over — $419.01

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Over — $349.98

topdogbigboi

Over — $7.33

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