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Under
nigiri99OverUnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Jaguars Team Total: O/U 27.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$229
Combined PnL
-$118.86
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares500
Combined PnL-$219.62
Over2 traders
Total Value$229
Total Shares229
Combined PnL+$100.76
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR | Underavg 44¢ | $195.9 | — | -$195.9 | 47% 507-561 (1068) |
nigiri99 | Overavg 56¢ | $128.24 | $229 | +$100.76 | 50% 760-746 (1506) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $13.64 | — | -$13.64 | 55% 1999-1665 (3664) |
BA Bagwell306CTR<$100 | Underavg 42¢ | $10.08 | — | -$10.08 | 38% 98-163 (261) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 63% 147-86 (233) |
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTRInvested
$195.9
Value
—
PnL
-$195.9
Record
47%
507-561 (1068)
nigiri99Invested
$128.24
Value
$229
PnL
+$100.76
Record
50%
760-746 (1506)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100Invested
$13.64
Value
—
PnL
-$13.64
Record
55%
1999-1665 (3664)
BA
Bagwell306CTR<$100Invested
$10.08
Value
—
PnL
-$10.08
Record
38%
98-163 (261)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
147-86 (233)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x88c7285a...e1584b
Slug
nfl-jax-ten-2026-11-15-team-total-jax-27pt5