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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 30.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Over 50%

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$371.29

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,976

Combined PnL$-1.9K

Under4 traders

Total Value$2.7K

Total Shares2,746

Combined PnL+$1.5K

Over — 50%Under — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN Anon455CTR	Overavg 62¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K	54% 3943-3319 (7262)
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375	Underavg 38¢	$837.5	$2.0K	+$1.2K	50% 5215-5114 (10329)
38 38791873984189CTR	Overavg 60.4¢	$463.6	—	-$463.6	48% 70290-75979 (146269)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR	Overavg 69.6¢	$1.3K	—	-$207.51	57% 17059-13037 (30096)
BI biying88888	Underavg 49¢	$308.7	$630	+$321.3	47% 242-268 (510)
VE Venusian<$100	Underavg 46¢	$58.02	$58.02	+$31.33	47% 2177-2413 (4590)
MA MadridTime<$100	Underavg 46¢	$58.02	$58.02	+$31.33	47% 2130-2385 (4515)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Overavg 93¢	$6.65	—	-$6.65	52% 27270-24782 (52052)

Invested

$1,240

Value

—

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

54%

3943-3319 (7262)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Invested

$837.5

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

50%

5215-5114 (10329)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$463.6

Value

—

PnL

-$463.6

Record

48%

70290-75979 (146269)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR

Invested

$1,295.2

Value

—

PnL

-$207.51

Record

57%

17059-13037 (30096)

Invested

$308.7

Value

$630

PnL

+$321.3

Record

47%

242-268 (510)

Invested

$58.02

Value

$58.02

PnL

+$31.33

Record

47%

2177-2413 (4590)

MadridTime<$100

Invested

$58.02

Value

$58.02

PnL

+$31.33

Record

47%

2130-2385 (4515)

Invested

$6.65

Value

—

PnL

-$6.65

Record

52%

27270-24782 (52052)

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa2468be5...de0262

Slug

nfl-det-mia-2026-11-08-total-30pt5

Traders in this Market

Anon455

Over — $0

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Under — $2.0K

38791873984189

Over — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $0

biying88888

Under — $630

Venusian

Under — $58.02

MadridTime

Under — $58.02

Pan9X

Over — $0

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