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UnderOverOverUnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 50%
Total Value
$1.3K
Combined PnL
$277.82
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares777
Combined PnL-$532.73
Over3 traders
Total Value$1.3K
Total Shares1,284
Combined PnL+$810.55
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN Anon455CTR | Underavg 75.9¢ | $382.03 | — | -$382.03 | 54% 3943-3319 (7262) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Overavg 45¢ | $350.65 | $779 | +$428.35 | 50% 5215-5114 (10329) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Overavg 24¢ | $500 | $500 | +$380 | 57% 17059-13037 (30096) |
65 6512395314597884CTR | Underavg 55¢ | $200 | — | -$110 | 51% 5683-5537 (11220) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | $74 | — | -$40.7 | 53% 13686-12062 (25748) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Overavg 44¢ | $2.8 | $5 | +$2.2 | 47% 2124-2359 (4483) |
AN
Anon455CTRInvested
$382.03
Value
—
PnL
-$382.03
Record
54%
3943-3319 (7262)
0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Invested
$350.65
Value
$779
PnL
+$428.35
Record
50%
5215-5114 (10329)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$380
Record
57%
17059-13037 (30096)
65
6512395314597884CTRInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
-$110
Record
51%
5683-5537 (11220)
JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100Invested
$74
Value
—
PnL
-$40.7
Record
53%
13686-12062 (25748)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.2
Record
47%
2124-2359 (4483)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x17f4b8f3...8d9a4c
Slug
nfl-den-car-2026-11-08-total-46pt5