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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 42.5

Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

Under 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.4K

Combined PnL

-$45.43

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over2 traders

Total Value$5.3K

Total Shares5,269

Combined PnL+$3.4K

Under4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,517

Combined PnL$-3.5K

Over — 33%Under — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375	Overavg 34.3¢	$1.6K	$4.6K	+$3.0K	50% 5215-5114 (10329)
CUTJALENHURTSCTR	Underavg 69¢	$2.9K	—	$-2.9K	51% 6917-6562 (13479)
TA TAIWANNUMBERONECTR	Underavg 64.1¢	$496	—	-$496	54% 1455-1257 (2712)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 36¢	$1.3K	$670.15	+$426.94	57% 17059-13037 (30096)
AN Anon455ARB<$100	Underavg 52¢	$182.13	$142.86	-$39.28	54% 3943-3319 (7262)
└ Under leg	Underavg 52¢	$109.28	—	-$109.28
└ Over leg	Overavg 51¢	$72.86	$142.86	+$70
LI LimousinCTR	Underavg 45¢	$177.93	—	-$80.07	49% 2208-2325 (4533)
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100	Underavg 50¢	$50	—	-$25	53% 13686-12062 (25748)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Invested

$1,579.89

Value

$4.6K

PnL

+$3.0K

Record

50%

5215-5114 (10329)

CUTJALENHURTSCTR

Invested

$2,890.41

Value

—

PnL

$-2.9K

Record

51%

6917-6562 (13479)

TAIWANNUMBERONECTR

Invested

$496

Value

—

PnL

-$496

Record

54%

1455-1257 (2712)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$1,333.85

Value

$670.15

PnL

+$426.94

Record

57%

17059-13037 (30096)

Anon455ARB<$100

Invested

$182.13

Value

$142.86

PnL

-$39.28

Record

54%

3943-3319 (7262)

Both legs:

Under$109.2852¢-$109.28

Over$72.8651¢+$70

Invested

$177.93

Value

—

PnL

-$80.07

Record

49%

2208-2325 (4533)

justaluckydudeCTR<$100

Invested

$50

Value

—

PnL

-$25

Record

53%

13686-12062 (25748)

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfb778522...dcbd1a

Slug

nfl-den-car-2026-11-08-total-42pt5

Traders in this Market

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Over — $4.6K

CUTJALENHURTS

Under — $0

TAIWANNUMBERONE

Under — $0

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $670.15

Anon455

Arbitrage — excluded

Limousin

Under — $0

justaluckydude

Under — $0

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