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UnderOverOverOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 40.5
Resolved Over. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 33%
Total Value
$14.4K
Combined PnL
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares16,308
Combined PnL$-9.6K
Over4 traders
Total Value$14.4K
Total Shares14,361
Combined PnL+$8.2K
Under — 33%Over — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TA TAIWANNUMBERONECTR | Underavg 58.9¢ | $6.7K | — | $-6.7K | 54% 1455-1257 (2712) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Overavg 42.2¢ | $2.3K | $5.4K | +$3.1K | 50% 5215-5114 (10329) |
FE ferrariChampions2026 | Overavg 41¢ | $5.2K | $5.2K | +$3.1K | 46% 33409-38908 (72317) |
JU justaluckydude | Overavg 41¢ | $4.0K | $3.3K | +$1.7K | 53% 13686-12062 (25748) |
SA SadSquid54333CTR | Underavg 63¢ | $2.9K | — | $-2.9K | 56% 192-150 (342) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Overavg 43¢ | $500 | $500 | +$285 | 57% 17059-13037 (30096) |
TA
TAIWANNUMBERONECTRInvested
$6,662.52
Value
—
PnL
$-6.7K
Record
54%
1455-1257 (2712)
0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375Invested
$2,263.17
Value
$5.4K
PnL
+$3.1K
Record
50%
5215-5114 (10329)
FE
ferrariChampions2026Invested
$5,240.84
Value
$5.2K
PnL
+$3.1K
Record
46%
33409-38908 (72317)
JU
justaluckydudeInvested
$4,027
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
53%
13686-12062 (25748)
SA
SadSquid54333CTRInvested
$2,897.37
Value
—
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
56%
192-150 (342)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$285
Record
57%
17059-13037 (30096)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x00a4b001...d4d70c
Slug
nfl-den-car-2026-11-08-total-40pt5