Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Roda JC Kerkrade vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Under 67%
$273.59
-$328.25
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Overavg 62¢ | $82.75 | $133.46 | +$50.71 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 67.3¢ | $87.82 | $100.36 | +$12.54 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Overavg 99.1¢ | $39.41 | $39.77 | +$0.36 | 94% 126-8 (134) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 35¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 23.7¢ | $32.1 | — | -$32.1 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 32.4¢ | $14.62 | — | -$14.62 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 34¢ | $90.07 | — | -$90.07 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 29.4¢ | $247.54 | — | -$247.54 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
Invested
$82.75
Value
$133.46
PnL
+$50.71
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Invested
$87.82
Value
$100.36
PnL
+$12.54
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
Invested
$39.41
Value
$39.77
PnL
+$0.36
Record
94%
126-8 (134)
Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$32.1
Value
—
PnL
-$32.1
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$14.62
Value
—
PnL
-$14.62
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$90.07
Value
—
PnL
-$90.07
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$247.54
Value
—
PnL
-$247.54
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)