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OverUnderUnderUnder
RN1<$100OverOverOver
HRTrading<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Roda JC Kerkrade vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Under 67%
Total Value
$27.2
Combined PnL
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over5 traders
Total Value$27.2
Total Shares27
Combined PnL+$0.03
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,310
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Over — 63%Under — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368<$100 | Overavg 99.9¢ | $27.2 | $27.2 | +$0.03 | 98% 12962-205 (13167) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $3.92 | — | -$3.92 | 38% 3268-5352 (8620) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 51¢ | $2.3K | — | $-1.2K | 72% 2367-909 (3276) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 50.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
RN1<$100 | Overavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56379-48535 (104914) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 49.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24902-24623 (49525) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 65¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12512-12895 (25407) |
HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 66¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4099-3733 (7832) |
ZX
zxc368<$100Invested
$27.2
Value
$27.2
PnL
+$0.03
Record
98%
12962-205 (13167)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$3.92
Value
—
PnL
-$3.92
Record
38%
3268-5352 (8620)
DA
dashattackerCTRInvested
$2,301.19
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
72%
2367-909 (3276)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56379-48535 (104914)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24902-24623 (49525)
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12512-12895 (25407)
HRTrading<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4099-3733 (7832)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xde42a688...8561d3
Slug
ned2-rod-az-2026-10-30-total-2pt5