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NoYesNoYes
HRTrading<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Roda JC Kerkrade vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar end in a draw?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$19.87
Combined PnL
-$10.29
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$19.87
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$0.9
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares85
Combined PnL-$11.19
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 95.5¢ | $18.97 | $19.87 | +$0.9 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $7.95 | — | -$11.19 | 54% 6204-5263 (11467) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33227-32776 (66003) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4099-3733 (7832) |
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$18.97
Value
$19.87
PnL
+$0.9
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
BE
BetzikoCTR<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
—
PnL
-$11.19
Record
54%
6204-5263 (11467)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33227-32776 (66003)
HRTrading<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4099-3733 (7832)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2a7780e0...cb34db
Slug
ned2-rod-az-2026-10-30-draw