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UnderUnderOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
MVV Maastricht vs. Vitesse Arnhem: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$85.25
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares243
Combined PnL-$86.6
Over1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$1.35
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 35.5¢ | $64.24 | — | -$64.24 | 41% 739-1047 (1786) |
CC ccllarCTR<$100 | Underavg 38¢ | $18.38 | — | -$18.38 | 44% 62-79 (141) |
LO lonmi2511<$100 | Overavg 73¢ | $3.65 | $5 | +$1.35 | 59% 747-512 (1259) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 34¢ | $2.57 | — | -$2.57 | 38% 1354-2191 (3545) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 25¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$64.24
Value
—
PnL
-$64.24
Record
41%
739-1047 (1786)
CC
ccllarCTR<$100Invested
$18.38
Value
—
PnL
-$18.38
Record
44%
62-79 (141)
LO
lonmi2511<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.35
Record
59%
747-512 (1259)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$2.57
Value
—
PnL
-$2.57
Record
38%
1354-2191 (3545)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe323ea05...144ce4
Slug
ned2-maa-vit-2026-11-15-first-half-total-0pt5