Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Helmond Sport win on 2026-10-30?
Resolved Yes. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
No 60%
$125.01
-$589.56
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Yesavg 58.4¢ | $77.9 | $115.01 | +$37.12 | 38% 3268-5352 (8620) |
 poshposhCTR | Noavg 90.4¢ | $158.98 | — | -$161.53 | 59% 10007-6969 (16976) |
VD VD721lsj4938Dk388CTR | Noavg 57¢ | $440.13 | — | -$455.96 | 55% 1728-1422 (3150) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 97.3¢ | $14.48 | $10 | -$4.48 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.7 | 54% 6204-5263 (11467) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Noavg 89.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Noavg 93.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33227-32776 (66003) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24902-24623 (49525) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Yesavg 60.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12512-12895 (25407) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 94.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4099-3733 (7832) |
Invested
$77.9
Value
$115.01
PnL
+$37.12
Record
38%
3268-5352 (8620)
poshposhCTRInvested
$158.98
Value
—
PnL
-$161.53
Record
59%
10007-6969 (16976)
Invested
$440.13
Value
—
PnL
-$455.96
Record
55%
1728-1422 (3150)
Invested
$14.48
Value
$10
PnL
-$4.48
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
54%
6204-5263 (11467)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33227-32776 (66003)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24902-24623 (49525)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12512-12895 (25407)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4099-3733 (7832)
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