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poshposhCTRYesYesNoNoYes
RN1<$100NoYes
HRTrading<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will FC Eindhoven win on 2026-10-30?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 50%
Total Value
$46
Combined PnL
-$376.81
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares237
Combined PnL-$379.79
No4 traders
Total Value$46
Total Shares46
Combined PnL+$2.98
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposhCTR | Yesavg 87¢ | $130.5 | — | -$250.43 | 59% 10007-6969 (16976) |
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 68¢ | $59.47 | — | -$129.37 | 54% 6204-5263 (11467) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 95.7¢ | $28.7 | $30 | +$1.3 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 89.5¢ | $14.32 | $16 | +$1.68 | 38% 3268-5352 (8620) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 67.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 13.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56379-48535 (104914) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 87.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24902-24623 (49525) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4099-3733 (7832) |
poshposhCTRInvested
$130.5
Value
—
PnL
-$250.43
Record
59%
10007-6969 (16976)
BE
BetzikoCTR<$100Invested
$59.47
Value
—
PnL
-$129.37
Record
54%
6204-5263 (11467)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$28.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.3
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$14.32
Value
$16
PnL
+$1.68
Record
38%
3268-5352 (8620)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56379-48535 (104914)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24902-24623 (49525)
HRTrading<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4099-3733 (7832)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb2880670...ffd3d5
Slug
ned2-hel-ein-2026-10-30-ein